Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29e2f75acd552240ecc0ef3b4fff9f8222cbc1a3f3d091de1c402f304e805ac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Tar Heelsof St. Bonaventure Bonnies, North Carolina Tar Heels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 16c | 29,223$4,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675.64 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14c | 12,475$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.5 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…85febacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 21c | 2,439$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 13c | 2,405$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.29 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14c | 1,846$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 10c | 1,379$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 8c | 1,310$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14c | 1,148$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14c | 809.22$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 12c | 806.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14c | 800$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14c | 649.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 12c | 447.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 13c | 390$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 10c | 348.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 12c | 251.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 9c | 233.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…7572backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 7c | 231.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14c | 210.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14c | 194$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 15c | 176.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 9c | 119.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 11c | 118$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…5cc1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 21c | 94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14c | 84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsthis page
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-10.5)North Carolina Tar Heels won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.