Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9bf1e33277127bceb0b48d2a4a0fa4a79390dcabbb791643c26e59fbd0e57f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 49c | 5,100$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.65 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 2,959$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.84 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 1,622$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.37 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 1,510$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.28 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 58c | 1,011$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.35 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 925.91$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 607.16$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.76 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 65c | 479.47$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.68 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 65c | 405.27$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 12c | 320.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.22 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Under | 6c | 212.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 39c | 177.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed Over | 56c | 177.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…4612backed Over | 47c | 158.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Over | 76c | 130.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 53c | 40.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 40.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 0.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.