CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aa0c87194b6d5062a3ed1e036b5f5e2abb0b22f38b5158fe2f2a2d2e205ad8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bbc…7e0fbacked Phantom | 72c | 1,774$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Leo Team | 23c | 912.14$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 27c | 271.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…bbfbbacked Leo Team | 28c | 228$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Leo Team | 28c | 147.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked Leo Team | 28c | 138.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a316backed Leo Team | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…6b0dbacked Leo Team | 28c | 110.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 28c | 103.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed Leo Team | 27c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Phantom | 73c | 66.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 638 | 55.3%353 W · 285 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leo Team | 23c | 59.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Phantom | 73c | 58.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Phantom | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Leo Team | 28c | 38.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Phantom | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 160 | 78.8%126 W · 34 L | +18.6wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Phantom | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 123 | 75.6%93 W · 30 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked Phantom | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 44 | 88.6%39 W · 5 L | +8.3wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 PlayoffsPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.