CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x796a146f361fc855fc6c2a62d6c69ba8f0196b39f10cd227563a7ab235d217e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 29c | 2,114$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.56 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Phantom | 72c | 1,472$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.67 | 1,710 | 53.2%909 W · 801 L | +65.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Phantom | 44c | 1,137$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.33 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team | 37c | 606.83$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.46 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Phantom | 64c | 555.54$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.36 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Phantom | 39c | 451.02$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.43 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…3dddbacked Phantom | 69c | 410.9$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…bdc7backed Leo Team | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Phantom | 70c | 288.4$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 138 | 69.6%96 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Phantom | 70c | 269$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 223 | 53.8%120 W · 103 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Phantom | 70c | 265$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 521 | 55.1%287 W · 234 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Phantom | 39c | 255.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 850 | 51.8%440 W · 410 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Phantom | 71c | 247$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 386 | 50.5%195 W · 191 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Team | 44c | 220.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Phantom | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Phantom | 66c | 215.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leo Team | 45c | 215.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Leo Team | 31c | 195$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 1,110 | 37.5%416 W · 694 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Leo Team | 59c | 186.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 410 | 69%283 W · 127 L | +32.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Leo Team | 31c | 177.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 407 | 40%163 W · 244 L | +30.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Phantom | 47c | 168.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leo Team | 50c | 164.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed Leo Team | 38c | 157.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Leo Team | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 870 | 55.9%486 W · 384 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Phantom | 69c | 124.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Leo Team | 45c | 123$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…dd8ebacked Leo Team | 76c | 115.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 52c | 110.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Phantom | 56c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Phantom | 53c | 98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Leo Team | 44c | 97.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Phantom | 54c | 82.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leo Team | 42c | 80.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom | 75c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 54c | 76.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Leo Team | 30c | 76.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Phantom | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…2200backed Leo Team | 78c | 67.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Phantom | 71c | 67.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Leo Team | 56c | 67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Leo Team | 50c | 63.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 44c | 62.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Leo Team | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 446 | 72%321 W · 125 L | +26.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…0953backed Leo Team | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…b8ecbacked Phantom | 53c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Leo Team | 36c | 55.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 34.7%91 W · 171 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Phantom | 70c | 54.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Leo Team | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Leo Team | 38c | 52.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Leo Team | 59c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Leo Team | 30c | 50.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Leo Team | 30c | 50.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Phantom | 54c | 48.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Leo Team | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Phantom | 41c | 47.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 370 | 41.9%155 W · 215 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Leo Team | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Phantom | 51c | 46.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 606 | 32.5%197 W · 409 L | -49.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Phantom | 72c | 45.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Phantom | 54c | 44.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed Leo Team | 45c | 44.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Leo Team | 49c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 793 | 46.4%368 W · 425 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Leo Team | 27c | 38.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 603 | 45.8%276 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Leo Team | 28c | 37.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 114 | 71.1%81 W · 33 L | +18.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Phantom | 72c | 37.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 239 | 52.7%126 W · 113 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Phantom | 62c | 37.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Leo Team | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Phantom | 40c | 35.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 569 | 48.9%278 W · 291 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 46c | 34.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Leo Team | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…1cfabacked Phantom | 71c | 32.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Phantom | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 781 | 48.3%377 W · 404 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leo Team | 45c | 30.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc53…0f64backed Leo Team | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Phantom | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…acd8backed Phantom | 64c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.