CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ac55e665c7b06094531ef9fb409b5a94f8cc0733389241c22e92101c4c9f6b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNO MILLEof UNO MILLE, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ALKA | 34c | 757.83$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.49 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f92…bbaebacked UNO MILLE | 68c | 354.52$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ALKA | 32c | 217.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…498abacked UNO MILLE | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked UNO MILLE | 61c | 131.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed UNO MILLE | 65c | 123.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed UNO MILLE | 65c | 122.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ALKA | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked UNO MILLE | 67c | 36.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed UNO MILLE | 67c | 23.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked UNO MILLE | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 PlayoffsUNO MILLE won
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerUNO MILLE won
- Map Handicap: UNO (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)UNO MILLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.