CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2afecf792a19a7633c985724b8e68f2ff6da4b6c588a441ce923eb7105d0cd3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, UNO MILLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN | 77c | 666.84$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UNO MILLE | 23c | 580.34$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked UNO MILLE | 14c | 509.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d1…9599backed UNO MILLE | 8c | 480.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked UNO MILLE | 4c | 424.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNO MILLE | 14c | 400.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked UNO MILLE | 14c | 325$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed UNO MILLE | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed UNO MILLE | 30c | 282.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked UNO MILLE | 5c | 219.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked ShindeN | 76c | 197.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed UNO MILLE | 26c | 149.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed ShindeN | 62c | 148.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ShindeN | 78c | 147$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNO MILLE | 18c | 102.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ShindeN | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed ShindeN | 77c | 94.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked UNO MILLE | 28c | 77.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked ShindeN | 80c | 62.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed UNO MILLE | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ShindeN | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed UNO MILLE | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…6c48backed ShindeN | 65c | 45.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed UNO MILLE | 28c | 40.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed UNO MILLE | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…8397backed ShindeN | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs UNO MILLE (+1.5)ShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.