CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2ffb86310b1d5a429e5b618240f6312d0c0cc1798501c997aa9c8290684b439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, UNO MILLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked UNO MILLE | 6c | 1,367$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed UNO MILLE | 32c | 765.96$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UNO MILLE | 29c | 592.16$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.58 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed UNO MILLE | 38c | 576.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.55 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked ShindeN | 62c | 551.55$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.59 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked UNO MILLE | 6c | 360$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ShindeN | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN | 73c | 278.13$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed UNO MILLE | 7c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed UNO MILLE | 32c | 215.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UNO MILLE | 26c | 215.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed ShindeN | 75c | 179.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed UNO MILLE | 24c | 167.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNO MILLE | 22c | 164$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked ShindeN | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed UNO MILLE | 14c | 127$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UNO MILLE | 32c | 109$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed ShindeN | 67c | 93.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ShindeN | 63c | 91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ShindeN | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ShindeN | 63c | 50.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed ShindeN | 60c | 42.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed ShindeN | 72c | 34.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked ShindeN | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs UNO MILLE (+1.5)ShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.