Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vanderbilt vs. Texas A&M
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b0352e7c6505a46dadf93d08779349c1923a0d8e5ab231f4aa603962247a17b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanderbiltof Vanderbilt, Texas A&M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Vanderbilt | 27c | 405.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.1 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Texas A&M | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vanderbilt | 20c | 238$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd29…dfe3backed Texas A&M | 80c | 98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…d415backed Vanderbilt | 25c | 84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…26a4backed Vanderbilt | 20c | 82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +250%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2156…5934backed Texas A&M | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…1836backed Vanderbilt | 24c | 76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3b…931ebacked Vanderbilt | 25c | 68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…92dbbacked Texas A&M | 80c | 66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Texas A&M | 73c | 64.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…2503backed Vanderbilt | 25c | 63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…d0e1backed Vanderbilt | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…cf0bbacked Texas A&M | 76c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe826…b5d1backed Texas A&M | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Texas A&M | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…b8d0backed Texas A&M | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc6…9180backed Texas A&M | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…d8d8backed Texas A&M | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…d3dbbacked Texas A&M | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b7…78bdbacked Texas A&M | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd931…15b1backed Texas A&M | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c6…6de4backed Texas A&M | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db8…56f1backed Texas A&M | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa628…1f6bbacked Texas A&M | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde86…5ab4backed Texas A&M | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…65f7backed Texas A&M | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…6ed3backed Texas A&M | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.