TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: UNO (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UNO MILLEof UNO MILLE, paiN Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked paiN Academy52c3,712$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.2175652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebd…9c0dbacked UNO MILLE48c615.96$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.961942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked UNO MILLE48c463.22$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8734140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafeb…6da8backed UNO MILLE48c430.77$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed UNO MILLE48c317.08$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8810143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed UNO MILLE48c314.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4710541%43 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed UNO MILLE48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.519245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed UNO MILLE48c290.15$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8815349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed UNO MILLE48c222.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.926741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed UNO MILLE47c210.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6520952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ca…bc47backed UNO MILLE48c206.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.256741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed UNO MILLE48c206.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.256352.4%33 W · 30 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed paiN Academy53c186.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9977351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked UNO MILLE48c131.11$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.184856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed paiN Academy53c121.87$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5944552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked paiN Academy53c121.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7314057.9%81 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed UNO MILLE48c112.21$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3523732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb984…7427backed UNO MILLE48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed UNO MILLE47c101.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed UNO MILLE46c92.59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5055039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked UNO MILLE47c65.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.778755.2%48 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed paiN Academy54c59.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.871,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29ee…32a0backed UNO MILLE48c54.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.171844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.