Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b0dc08a57f9fc934f409831e903d981dc451e4de512967fa3602a48afff3270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique de Marseilleof Olympique de Marseille, Stade Brestois 29
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Stade Brestois 29 | 57c | 895.4$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.87 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Stade Brestois 29 | 57c | 542.63$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.62 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Stade Brestois 29 | 59c | 485$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…b3c3backed Olympique de Marseille | 42c | 342$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympique de Marseille | 44c | 267.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Stade Brestois 29 | 58c | 175.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ed5bbacked Olympique de Marseille | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Stade Brestois 29 | 58c | 56.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…ca38backed Olympique de Marseille | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.