Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac1a1844d27a12da033473c270a16a0af338e6c260e92b09adc4d3758203b8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 1,891$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.36 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Over | 58c | 999.87$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 42c | 491.08$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.2 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 50c | 288$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…f958backed Under | 45c | 222.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over | 55c | 191.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 42c | 181.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over | 61c | 127.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 39c | 87.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…9e3dbacked Over | 60c | 58.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 43c | 41.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…ca38backed Over | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.