Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b5e53fd584d67eb2d974252883c0c008c4059df305228d881d7351f2f68fbed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,762$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.79 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…c1e5backed Under | 50c | 999.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 25c | 957.46$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.68 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 758.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 49c | 610$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 68c | 589.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 35c | 499.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.48 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 35c | 498.58$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.43 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 35c | 498.58$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.43 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 35c | 498.58$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.43 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 34c | 493.96$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.25 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 34c | 493.96$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.25 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 34c | 492.74$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.21 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 34c | 492.74$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.21 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 34c | 489.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.03 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 34c | 489.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.03 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 34c | 483.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.35 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 34c | 321.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 34c | 321.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 34c | 321.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 34c | 317.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.76 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 50c | 199.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 34c | 197.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 34c | 190$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 34c | 174.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 38c | 132$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 62c | 132$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 34c | 124.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 34c | 100.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 42c | 96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 58c | 96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 42c | 94.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 88.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 25c | 79.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 43c | 73.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 72.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 38c | 60.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 57c | 60.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Over | 31c | 49.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 28c | 44.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7549backed Under | 64c | 34.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 79c | 34.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Over | 62c | 34.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 42c | 33.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Under | 37c | 28.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.