CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: IMHOWeRGOAT vs 300FPS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bca70ada62a6a1712b932f6e73adef14adf77ebd4646c56924fbef5001e7479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IMHOWeRGOATof IMHOWeRGOAT, 300FPS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 40c | 5,591$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.42 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed 300FPS | 66c | 2,192$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.82 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked 300FPS | 63c | 2,098$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.67 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…776fbacked 300FPS | 65c | 1,315$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed 300FPS | 54c | 793$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.42 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 41c | 585.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.17 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked IMHOWeRGOAT | 61c | 536.19$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.91 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 22c | 421.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.97 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed 300FPS | 34c | 350$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 300FPS | 35c | 325$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 300FPS | 33c | 299.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…d632backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 61c | 210$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed 300FPS | 60c | 137.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0917…48aebacked IMHOWeRGOAT | 52c | 123.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 39c | 119.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked IMHOWeRGOAT | 79c | 59.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked IMHOWeRGOAT | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 300FPS | 75c | 38.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: IMHOWeRGOAT vs 300FPS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: IMHOWeRGOAT vs 300FPS (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 PlayoffsIMHOWeRGOAT won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.