CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bcc7a41f7b8dd2f970ce600a638774f8d7d5f48bbd0a05f6e3e19d56e0747b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,526 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HEROIC Academy | 20c | 1,597$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.16 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed KOLESIE | 65c | 1,515$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.27 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked HEROIC Academy | 35c | 768.59$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.01 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 68c | 693.11$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.04 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed KOLESIE | 65c | 463.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.36 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HEROIC Academy | 40c | 444.26$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HEROIC Academy | 9c | 359.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HEROIC Academy | 36c | 265$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed HEROIC Academy | 34c | 259.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed KOLESIE | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HEROIC Academy | 16c | 151.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed HEROIC Academy | 37c | 132.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed HEROIC Academy | 36c | 131.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed HEROIC Academy | 31c | 118.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed KOLESIE | 60c | 110.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed HEROIC Academy | 10c | 104.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed HEROIC Academy | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked HEROIC Academy | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed HEROIC Academy | 30c | 94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked KOLESIE | 62c | 82.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked HEROIC Academy | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HEROIC Academy | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed HEROIC Academy | 30c | 72.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed KOLESIE | 63c | 69.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked HEROIC Academy | 35c | 62.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 62.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed KOLESIE | 66c | 61.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed HEROIC Academy | 31c | 36.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5)KOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.