Tennis · resolved market
Livesport Prague Open: Ayla Aksu vs Daria Snigur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bfa13bdc10fdec4750bf5285e105b5ec045fee9055e8cdf71056dc8a0aafde7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Snigurof Ayla Aksu, Daria Snigur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ayla Aksu | 3c | 13,022$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.23 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Ayla Aksu | 0c | 2,483$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ayla Aksu | 5c | 1,423$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Ayla Aksu | 13c | 1,405$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.62 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7940…47e7backed Ayla Aksu | 12c | 1,044$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…30d8backed Ayla Aksu | 5c | 905.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Ayla Aksu | 11c | 581.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ayla Aksu | 10c | 476.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Ayla Aksu | 11c | 405.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ayla Aksu | 9c | 377.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ayla Aksu | 11c | 371$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ayla Aksu | 11c | 309.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Ayla Aksu | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ayla Aksu | 12c | 296.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Ayla Aksu | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…2d67backed Ayla Aksu | 11c | 236.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Ayla Aksu | 11c | 219.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ayla Aksu | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ayla Aksu | 11c | 188.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Ayla Aksu | 10c | 138$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Ayla Aksu | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Ayla Aksu | 11c | 118.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Ayla Aksu | 10c | 100.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ayla Aksu | 14c | 79.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.