Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NOVO Esports vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bfba425eaa7274380c20217979df0291c6387b8db2a6b0995f9d08a6523a4d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof NOVO Esports, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Barça eSports | 67c | 3,709$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.18 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked NOVO Esports | 31c | 1,506$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed NOVO Esports | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…1285backed NOVO Esports | 31c | 1,364$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NOVO Esports | 36c | 1,328$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.6 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Barça eSports | 68c | 1,284$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.37 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Barça eSports | 69c | 958.02$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.12 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed NOVO Esports | 31c | 896.91$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.86 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Barça eSports | 62c | 524.2$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.99 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NOVO Esports | 8c | 411.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 221 | 18.1%40 W · 181 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed NOVO Esports | 34c | 366.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed NOVO Esports | 18c | 306$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed NOVO Esports | 33c | 304.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NOVO Esports | 36c | 243.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Barça eSports | 63c | 226.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed NOVO Esports | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Barça eSports | 68c | 197.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked NOVO Esports | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NOVO Esports | 14c | 141$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Barça eSports | 72c | 118.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked NOVO Esports | 32c | 105.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked NOVO Esports | 16c | 101.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NOVO Esports | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…5cb8backed Barça eSports | 58c | 66.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NOVO Esports | 29c | 56.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed NOVO Esports | 39c | 52.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NOVO Esports | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 604 | 54%326 W · 278 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…0fb9backed Barça eSports | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed NOVO Esports | 40c | 36.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…9dc9backed NOVO Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NOVO Esports vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Group Bthis page
- Valorant: NOVO Esports vs Barça eSports - Map 1 WinnerBarça eSports won
- Valorant: NOVO Esports vs Barça eSports - Map 2 WinnerNOVO Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.