TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Roar Gaming (BO5) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Roar Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,080 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x12ec…41aebacked Roar Gaming1c10,465$115 inLost-$114.656043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Roar Gaming7c4,615$301 inLost-$300.8988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Roar Gaming9c3,342$289 inLost-$288.5469835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd636…015cbacked Roar Gaming2c1,213$28 inLost-$28.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Roar Gaming8c958.33$78 inLost-$78.4320452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Roar Gaming9c870.01$75 inLost-$75.2512740.9%52 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc70…e75dbacked Roar Gaming5c763.48$41 inLost-$40.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc937…273bbacked Roar Gaming5c402.78$19 inLost-$18.869036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa6…c27bbacked Roar Gaming8c400$32 inLost-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd27…a92cbacked Roar Gaming9c366.92$31 inLost-$31.2728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…2dc7backed Roar Gaming6c323.49$19 inLost-$18.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Roar Gaming8c316.51$25 inLost-$25.324639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Roar Gaming7c304.35$21 inLost-$21.2114854.7%81 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Roar Gaming6c299.99$19 inLost-$18.7536138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f3a…e03dbacked Roar Gaming9c209.04$19 inLost-$18.813935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x810b…0848backed Roar Gaming9c178.58$16 inLost-$16.0713144.3%58 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6573…a570backed Roar Gaming7c146.22$10 inLost-$10.241010%1 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-85.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Roar Gaming24c59.02$14 inLost-$14.325841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5031…1ca3backed Vici Gaming76c50$38 inWon+$126055%33 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Vici Gaming80c31.18$25 inWon+$6.2430336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Vici Gaming75c16$12 inWon+$428341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.