CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c41c31ce5d88187a5cc2941d8272f0fc7ad062e3e1d9f18d03d3b2d2cff2de1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof MIBR, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked largadosypelados | 70c | 5,798$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.39 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked largadosypelados | 39c | 5,634$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.28 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MIBR | 30c | 3,341$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.51 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked largadosypelados | 30c | 1,705$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.52 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked MIBR | 60c | 1,175$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.13 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MIBR | 57c | 1,060$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.65 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…47c8backed MIBR | 1c | 1,010$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed MIBR | 67c | 803.28$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.71 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR | 16c | 753$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MIBR | 47c | 691.23$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.92 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed largadosypelados | 62c | 603.79$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.33 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed largadosypelados | 31c | 600$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked MIBR | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked largadosypelados | 63c | 409.69$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed largadosypelados | 60c | 348.18$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed largadosypelados | 65c | 245$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed MIBR | 59c | 219.64$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked largadosypelados | 76c | 196.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MIBR | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed MIBR | 50c | 132.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked MIBR | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked MIBR | 40c | 119.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MIBR | 17c | 118.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed MIBR | 22c | 117.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0259…4179backed MIBR | 44c | 114.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MIBR | 13c | 113.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MIBR | 20c | 88.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR | 37c | 87.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed largadosypelados | 39c | 84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked largadosypelados | 44c | 75.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed largadosypelados | 60c | 75.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed largadosypelados | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked largadosypelados | 69c | 71.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed largadosypelados | 29c | 69.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed MIBR | 53c | 64.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed MIBR | 49c | 57.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed MIBR | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked MIBR | 53c | 48.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MIBR | 23c | 44.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked MIBR | 48c | 43.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked MIBR | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MIBR | 39c | 38.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed largadosypelados | 72c | 37.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked MIBR | 37c | 32.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 389 | 41.9%163 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR | 39c | 31.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed largadosypelados | 62c | 29.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed MIBR | 70c | 25.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked MIBR | 58c | 25.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MIBR | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked MIBR | 58c | 24.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked largadosypelados | 68c | 21.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)largadosypelados won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.