CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa16fb325abf2826f6ef848b1e89e421d30d79662c51b4f956e0b131b8cb8e424
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof MIBR, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked largadosypelados | 45c | 4,525$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.63 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked MIBR | 55c | 4,051$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.64 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked MIBR | 52c | 1,209$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.87 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked largadosypelados | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked MIBR | 51c | 680.97$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.61 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked largadosypelados | 46c | 514.84$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked largadosypelados | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed largadosypelados | 46c | 229.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed MIBR | 56c | 220.84$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed MIBR | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed largadosypelados | 45c | 126.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked MIBR | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked MIBR | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed MIBR | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed MIBR | 53c | 80.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MIBR | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked MIBR | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked largadosypelados | 54c | 57.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed largadosypelados | 54c | 57.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked MIBR | 52c | 47.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MIBR | 52c | 45.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked largadosypelados | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed largadosypelados | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…f0cfbacked MIBR | 55c | 34.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked largadosypelados | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked largadosypelados | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…8fecbacked MIBR | 54c | 21.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.