Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas City Roos vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c5e5bf5f91ed7981f5ec4f0312b79f80f6d1df44d3ca7ee953814d748aa5cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota Fighting Hawksof Kansas City Roos, North Dakota Fighting Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Kansas City Roos | 18c | 3,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.03 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Kansas City Roos | 17c | 1,493$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.77 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Kansas City Roos | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kansas City Roos | 15c | 682.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Kansas City Roos | 18c | 550$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Kansas City Roos | 15c | 342.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas City Roos | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Roos | 15c | 289.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Kansas City Roos | 18c | 240.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas City Roos | 15c | 219.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Roos | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Kansas City Roos | 17c | 183.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas City Roos | 12c | 180$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a1…8497backed Kansas City Roos | 15c | 175$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Kansas City Roos | 15c | 149.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Kansas City Roos | 16c | 145.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Kansas City Roos | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kansas City Roos | 23c | 81.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 69c | 64.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas City Roos | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas City Roos | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 67c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Roos vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksthis page
- Kansas City Roos vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.