CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ca8bbca0cb624160842769df205647843a8b2fdeee301946e6a33f5782b52f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Crashers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7857…bab6backed Keyd | 79c | 1,538$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.39 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked Crashers | 29c | 690.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…92d8backed Crashers | 20c | 588.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Crashers | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Crashers | 20c | 292.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Crashers | 21c | 196.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Crashers | 9c | 190.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Crashers | 10c | 169.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Crashers | 19c | 166.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Keyd | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Keyd | 78c | 147.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Crashers | 44c | 146.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Crashers | 22c | 145.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed Keyd | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Crashers | 23c | 127.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd554…06e6backed Crashers | 10c | 121.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Crashers | 15c | 118.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Crashers | 16c | 116$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Keyd | 74c | 109.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4319…4cf6backed Crashers | 10c | 100.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Crashers | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Crashers | 22c | 98.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Crashers | 22c | 97.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +212.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Crashers | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Keyd | 54c | 91.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Crashers | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Crashers | 22c | 87.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Crashers | 15c | 78.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Crashers | 20c | 78.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Crashers | 25c | 76.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Keyd | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…2e74backed Crashers | 25c | 57.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Crashers | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed Crashers | 22c | 47.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Keyd | 77c | 42.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Keyd | 76c | 34.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Keyd | 65c | 30.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4048…d4adbacked Keyd | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…e285backed Keyd | 79c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Crashers - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Crashers - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Crashers (+1.5)Keyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.