Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d25ab0f4ff568aae390832faf5b2cae1448103e1067eb351d152e22ecc25085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakutou Brothersof Yakutou Brothers, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked REKONIX | 69c | 5,220$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.53 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 4,232$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.8 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed Yakutou Brothers | 63c | 955$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 32c | 790$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.2 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 63c | 773.17$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.97 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked REKONIX | 3c | 402.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yakutou Brothers | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed REKONIX | 4c | 355.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 43c | 311.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed REKONIX | 70c | 171.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 165.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 32c | 79.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked REKONIX | 32c | 45.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x271a…218cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Yakutou Brothers | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 22.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs REKONIX (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Yakutou Brothers (+1.5)Yakutou Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.