Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c89ebaff681117cc26fed516ce4e81d9d70a9246289f567dbb439193a267d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Yakutou Brothers, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Yakutou Brothers | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Yakutou Brothers | 51c | 3,957$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.7 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 48c | 1,657$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.52 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed REKONIX | 64c | 1,440$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.46 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 1,327$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked REKONIX | 55c | 1,274$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.01 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked REKONIX | 50c | 852.41$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.21 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Yakutou Brothers | 41c | 684.7$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Yakutou Brothers | 10c | 478.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 61c | 403.08$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed REKONIX | 55c | 325.67$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 49c | 203.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 52c | 191.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…32d3backed REKONIX | 50c | 188.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed REKONIX | 54c | 184.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed REKONIX | 54c | 183.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yakutou Brothers | 20c | 181.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Yakutou Brothers | 51c | 169.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked REKONIX | 58c | 137.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…8917backed Yakutou Brothers | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed REKONIX | 55c | 96.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed REKONIX | 50c | 65.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked REKONIX | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 55c | 52.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yakutou Brothers | 43c | 51.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked REKONIX | 54c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yakutou Brothers | 48c | 48.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1674…93c0backed REKONIX | 52c | 45.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed REKONIX | 74c | 40.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed REKONIX | 53c | 38.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked REKONIX | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed REKONIX | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked REKONIX | 50c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed REKONIX | 59c | 31.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked REKONIX | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yakutou Brothers | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs REKONIX (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
- Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Yakutou Brothers (+1.5)Yakutou Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.