NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d52caa24c6c9a6e8a97d9524aa457d6b393307223dfc418a7602b8075f62a30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Blue Jackets, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Blue Jackets | 44c | 455.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 56c | 421.32$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Sharks | 58c | 219.27$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Sharks | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sharks | 58c | 80.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 59.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Blue Jackets | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Sharks | 69c | 56.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Blue Jackets | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Blue Jackets | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sharks | 70c | 42.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Sharks | 67c | 36.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Sharks | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Blue Jackets | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99d…c99cbacked Sharks | 57c | 18.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Sharks vs. Blue JacketsSharks won
- Sharks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.