Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Zakharova vs Fruhvirtova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d61e7f9b7001e20264bd97b2f0893e398cd52a1c3cf8f3a64d0fa5f9fd601b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zakharovaof Zakharova, Fruhvirtova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Zakharova | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Zakharova | 40c | 592.5$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.5 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Fruhvirtova | 39c | 322.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Fruhvirtova | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Fruhvirtova | 25c | 230$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Fruhvirtova | 79c | 192$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zakharova | 31c | 184.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Zakharova | 65c | 166$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fruhvirtova | 19c | 152.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Fruhvirtova | 54c | 137.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Fruhvirtova | 32c | 124.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Zakharova | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Zakharova | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zakharova | 59c | 67.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Fruhvirtova | 55c | 40.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Zakharova | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Zakharova | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Zakharova vs Fruhvirtovathis page
- Set 2 Winner: Zakharova vs FruhvirtovaZakharova won
- Set Handicap: Zakharova (-1.5) vs Fruhvirtova (+1.5)Zakharova won
- The Memphis Classic: Anastasia Zakharova vs Linda FruhvirtovaAnastasia Zakharova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.