CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Phantom (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d6f6fe6251c96403fb701bd9811ed8db748732b964967fd8465067175c99b3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed B8 | 71c | 2,420$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.07 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Phantom | 30c | 924.94$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.44 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Phantom | 29c | 862.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.27 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 27c | 650$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Phantom | 29c | 650$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Phantom | 30c | 492.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed B8 | 70c | 328.27$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 6c | 325.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed B8 | 69c | 298.69$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 30c | 278.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed B8 | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed B8 | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed B8 | 68c | 128.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Phantom | 31c | 106$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Phantom | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Phantom | 26c | 87.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed B8 | 69c | 86.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked B8 | 70c | 85.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed B8 | 74c | 84.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked B8 | 72c | 78.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…51fdbacked Phantom | 27c | 69.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed B8 | 70c | 63.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked B8 | 73c | 34.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked B8 | 69c | 30.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked B8 | 70c | 28.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked B8 | 77c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.