Premier League · resolved market
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d941e7bdb3a88b0a0023ee095d57da80c0e1f10ba1ba1a98f87f44c6686fd03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 13c | 900$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 741.06$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.45 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 54c | 357.29$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 45c | 331.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 13c | 303.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 55c | 235.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 195.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over | 46c | 144.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 91.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 41.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…16d5backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b44…8fc2backed Over | 46c | 24.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…5370backed Over | 45c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf54…2d13backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…4b40backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd17…ff96backed Over | 45c | 22.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd111…5fe8backed Over | 46c | 21.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4be…b38dbacked Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…6505backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.