Other European Leagues · resolved market
Antalyaspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dbbf4388f846e6b64dc9b535214dea832405a82ccae0e6e26a9944133c7f002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,844 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9037…0386backed Under | 0c | 4,017$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,717$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 40c | 999.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.97 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 927.75$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 59c | 842.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.74 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 49c | 552.04$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.7 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 73c | 337.78$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Over | 73c | 178.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 170$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…15d3backed Over | 75c | 137.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 130.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Under | 25c | 97.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 59c | 94.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Over | 59c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked Under | 27c | 89.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed Under | 27c | 88.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 21c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 42c | 43.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 73c | 38.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Under | 54c | 37.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…33fbbacked Over | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 72c | 34.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 65c | 34.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 47c | 28.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Under | 44c | 26.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 72c | 18.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Antalyaspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 1.5this page
- Antalyaspor vs. Gaziantep FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Antalyaspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.