CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2de740caffbb9ee65e8ed3d977d9d58bc6005e2aa609a5984ec5c5efa55294a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof Leo Team, Rebels Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Leo Team | 58c | 2,073$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.63 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rebels Gaming | 47c | 1,180$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 28c | 633.22$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Rebels Gaming | 49c | 506$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.61 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rebels Gaming | 60c | 463.03$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 65c | 431.94$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.77 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Rebels Gaming | 35c | 417.09$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.11 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Leo Team | 12c | 374$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed Rebels Gaming | 51c | 319.29$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Leo Team | 20c | 300.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Rebels Gaming | 36c | 229.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Leo Team | 67c | 224.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Leo Team | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Rebels Gaming | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Leo Team | 59c | 95.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Rebels Gaming | 76c | 79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rebels Gaming | 32c | 69.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Rebels Gaming | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Leo Team | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Leo Team | 34c | 58.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Rebels Gaming | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Rebels Gaming | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Rebels Gaming | 80c | 39.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…d785backed Rebels Gaming | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Rebels Gaming | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Rebels Gaming | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…2d57backed Rebels Gaming | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Rebels Gaming | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Leo Team | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Rebels Gaming - Map 2 WinnerRebels Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.