Tennis · resolved market
Bengaluru 2: Ilya Ivashka vs Kokoro Isomura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e0711eed25512476f61ecc5d93bd8870894e79bab53cee235a1a9fca5196b51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilya Ivashkaof Ilya Ivashka, Kokoro Isomura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kokoro Isomura | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kokoro Isomura | 5c | 2,082$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kokoro Isomura | 10c | 2,042$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kokoro Isomura | 6c | 1,020$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kokoro Isomura | 17c | 972.44$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Kokoro Isomura | 5c | 923.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Kokoro Isomura | 14c | 629.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Kokoro Isomura | 3c | 551.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kokoro Isomura | 18c | 495.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…6c9cbacked Kokoro Isomura | 6c | 372$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Kokoro Isomura | 15c | 306.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kokoro Isomura | 10c | 267.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ddb2backed Kokoro Isomura | 4c | 232.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…8af1backed Kokoro Isomura | 13c | 226.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -14.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Kokoro Isomura | 17c | 223.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Kokoro Isomura | 6c | 221.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Kokoro Isomura | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 38.3%80 W · 129 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Kokoro Isomura | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Ilya Ivashka | 80c | 188.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Kokoro Isomura | 10c | 159$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Kokoro Isomura | 20c | 137.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kokoro Isomura | 20c | 105.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Ilya Ivashka | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kokoro Isomura | 19c | 98.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Ilya Ivashka | 80c | 93.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ilya Ivashka | 80c | 33.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Ilya Ivashka | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.