South American Leagues · resolved market
Clube do Remo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e14cef0d92bdf2a956d7b92ff311f19a38cf558a5a378d87d3439774a7f49c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 62c | 9,614$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 8,842$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 66c | 3,575$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 32c | 1,749$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.97 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 15c | 1,747$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 15c | 451$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 28c | 433.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 66c | 231.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 56c | 179.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 26c | 177.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Over | 12c | 130.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 36c | 128.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 127.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 46c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 64c | 41.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 35c | 39.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Under | 77c | 35.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c4…1378backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Under | 65c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Under | 67c | 18.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clube do Remo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5this page
- Clube do Remo vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Clube do Remo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5Over won
- Clube do Remo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)Clube do Remo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.