TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. San Jose State Spartans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Jose State Spartansof Loyola Chicago Ramblers, San Jose State Spartans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,657 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers51c19,656$10,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,033.932650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed San Jose State Spartans54c19,057$10,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,812.172,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked San Jose State Spartans49c3,200$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.7912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers47c907.24$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.744,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers46c799.7$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.861,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers49c476$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.451,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers48c430.98$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers46c430$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.81,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed San Jose State Spartans48c404.25$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.217245.8%33 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers46c140$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.410748.6%52 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed San Jose State Spartans39c135.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.573,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers47c115.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.371729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers47c106.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.782,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers47c89.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.332337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers47c88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3634947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed San Jose State Spartans25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6064322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers19c75.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3822640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9452…b685backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers48c36.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.522040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06b7…c135backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers70c35.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b11…6db4backed San Jose State Spartans50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbff…96a8backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed San Jose State Spartans63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x390d…e186backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers51c19.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0819055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.