MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e702bb6a2cedd497cfee9c698eb0367946d461db5c340c7667146bddb2dc644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Giants | 48c | 9,833$4,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Cardinals | 52c | 9,645$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 48c | 2,848$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.05 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,782$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.69 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d10…daebbacked Cardinals | 52c | 1,156$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…4dc1backed Giants | 48c | 1,154$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…0824backed Giants | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…f672backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,144$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 51c | 1,131$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.04 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 4c | 1,030$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cardinals | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 48c | 799.54$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.07 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 48c | 798.42$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.18 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 52c | 764.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Cardinals | 52c | 723$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.96 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Giants | 47c | 649.61$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.29 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Giants | 49c | 582.31$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Giants | 72c | 575.32$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 31c | 550.31$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 52c | 537.2$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.24 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Cardinals | 53c | 500.85$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Giants | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Cardinals | 52c | 387.66$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.58 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Cardinals | 53c | 378$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Cardinals | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 48c | 310$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Giants | 61c | 268.76$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giants | 70c | 251.76$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 48c | 220.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Giants | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Giants | 48c | 200.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 15c | 200.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Cardinals | 53c | 196.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cardinals | 51c | 195.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Giants | 75c | 176.39$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 52c | 134.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 129.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Giants | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 30c | 104.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Giants | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Cardinals | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Giants | 48c | 83.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Cardinals | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…cacabacked Giants | 48c | 54.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Giants | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cardinals | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Cardinals | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Giants | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed Giants | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Giants | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Giants | 49c | 34.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 51c | 34.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Giants | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Giants | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Giants | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Giants | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giants | 45c | 28.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…113dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…bb3fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…671dbacked Giants | 48c | 26.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Giants | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Giants | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Giants | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c6…fda4backed Cardinals | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Giants vs. Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Giants (-1.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.