Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VooDooSh Team vs avice Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ed5a6903e83f3a9f66c32ed0bde91e0601060889823ac5a4ba9d74454856492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VooDooSh Teamof VooDooSh Team, avice Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked VooDooSh Team | 57c | 2,366$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.23 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked avice Team | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed VooDooSh Team | 49c | 1,516$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.59 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked VooDooSh Team | 73c | 520.32$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked avice Team | 55c | 317.45$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked avice Team | 49c | 293.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed avice Team | 54c | 278.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed VooDooSh Team | 44c | 273.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.27 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed VooDooSh Team | 46c | 232.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…eb29backed avice Team | 43c | 223.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed avice Team | 35c | 145.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked avice Team | 39c | 139.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked avice Team | 24c | 100.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed avice Team | 50c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…4be9backed avice Team | 55c | 90.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…e1e3backed avice Team | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3540…3c49backed VooDooSh Team | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed VooDooSh Team | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…ad4cbacked VooDooSh Team | 40c | 54.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked avice Team | 29c | 51.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed avice Team | 27c | 50.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked avice Team | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed avice Team | 25c | 49.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed VooDooSh Team | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked VooDooSh Team | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed avice Team | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed avice Team | 63c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked avice Team | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…fad7backed VooDooSh Team | 76c | 28.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…2e0ebacked VooDooSh Team | 67c | 26.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked VooDooSh Team | 66c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…3d66backed VooDooSh Team | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VooDooSh Team vs avice Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: VooDooSh Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Bavice Team won
- Dota 2: VooDooSh Team vs avice Team - Game 2 Winneravice Team won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.