Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ee5eea44c59ea201517f2019eaec5a58edf35627533793d88774c9f1bb0bdea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 67c | 54,507$36,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,116.43 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 17,407$5,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,715.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 34c | 10,603$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.59 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 33c | 10,484$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.72 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 33c | 6,206$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.41 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 3,532$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 32c | 1,332$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.88 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…a63dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,048$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Yes | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 33c | 606$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…2ac9backed No | 74c | 540.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 455$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.43 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…895cbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 20c | 353$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…c04ebacked Yes | 24c | 165.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Yes | 33c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-10-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.