Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern vs. Minnesota
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f4001345db43e35518504abffb1e9b70a105f951e2cf662e8c0a1940b462cb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwesternof Northwestern, Minnesota
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Northwestern | 57c | 1,159$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Minnesota | 43c | 992.42$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.1 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…92dbbacked Minnesota | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…3d13backed Minnesota | 50c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…255bbacked Northwestern | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe517…f8b4backed Minnesota | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…666cbacked Northwestern | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4af…a627backed Minnesota | 58c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…9d04backed Northwestern | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…1f24backed Northwestern | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0d…319dbacked Minnesota | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Minnesota | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Minnesota | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Northwestern | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Minnesota | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Northwestern | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Northwestern | 44c | 37.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…9b9ebacked Minnesota | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…f937backed Northwestern | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb948…97d6backed Northwestern | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…0f93backed Northwestern | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…599ebacked Northwestern | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…d17ebacked Minnesota | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…05eabacked Northwestern | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…7b97backed Minnesota | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4776…3a4bbacked Northwestern | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94b…966ebacked Northwestern | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…9908backed Minnesota | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438b…1725backed Minnesota | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…08afbacked Minnesota | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb4…e58fbacked Minnesota | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9123…d290backed Minnesota | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.