Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VCU vs. Duquesne
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f84d8e5eaa68208465f10140790f0d6248461301556469b355bf1940a5bb9ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VCUof VCU, Duquesne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed VCU | 56c | 1,099$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.73 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Duquesne | 43c | 998.8$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.66 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333c…20f6backed Duquesne | 19c | 823$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc072…fe79backed Duquesne | 21c | 487$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…423cbacked VCU | 79c | 177$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3401…e099backed VCU | 52c | 162$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7237…2d00backed VCU | 79c | 153$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…dc1dbacked VCU | 79c | 152$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0334…1b52backed Duquesne | 16c | 151$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…01b1backed Duquesne | 26c | 130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…e092backed Duquesne | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb854…fcd3backed Duquesne | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…6549backed Duquesne | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…1235backed Duquesne | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…4ca3backed Duquesne | 23c | 92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…eaabbacked VCU | 74c | 91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…e7a8backed Duquesne | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf8…bcd6backed Duquesne | 21c | 83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…2a6ebacked Duquesne | 20c | 79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…dc27backed Duquesne | 16c | 74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816d…8fd3backed Duquesne | 20c | 73.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…68a3backed Duquesne | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29e…04a5backed Duquesne | 29c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…de5ebacked VCU | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…1872backed VCU | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65a…8303backed Duquesne | 22c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f77…6106backed Duquesne | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…50f6backed VCU | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…6529backed Duquesne | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…a6a2backed Duquesne | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…21ecbacked VCU | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2d…cbb8backed Duquesne | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…ec32backed VCU | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…dcc8backed Duquesne | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…dd00backed Duquesne | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…97c6backed VCU | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a2…5c7fbacked VCU | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…36d6backed Duquesne | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…1e4bbacked VCU | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf305…832abacked VCU | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd086…b3b3backed VCU | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…3255backed VCU | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…83bdbacked VCU | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…9b8dbacked VCU | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…1811backed Duquesne | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…44f2backed Duquesne | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked VCU | 80c | 31.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083d…e50bbacked VCU | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…3783backed VCU | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…e813backed VCU | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee55…ba1bbacked Duquesne | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…ca5abacked VCU | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a25…0deebacked VCU | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…4e53backed VCU | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…b657backed VCU | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…c5f2backed VCU | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…0092backed VCU | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…7e2dbacked VCU | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…0a43backed VCU | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…57fabacked VCU | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a32…6b21backed VCU | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…9099backed VCU | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…5bd8backed VCU | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c9…c1e9backed VCU | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…51dfbacked VCU | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…e56bbacked VCU | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…651cbacked VCU | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…e6c6backed VCU | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…b762backed VCU | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cf…1a22backed VCU | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…23b0backed VCU | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aff…5311backed VCU | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba13…bc1dbacked VCU | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…e02dbacked VCU | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…a206backed VCU | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e9…8cc6backed VCU | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.