Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fdfa6891d4dc73cb5ed8c48621a284e7598a9ec4639b3bc154bf20b80eef218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chennai Super Kingsof Chennai Super Kings, Sunrisers Hyderabad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 16c | 2,301$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.53 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…a9aebacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 397$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7804backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 391.09$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.55 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 338.12$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…491dbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 55c | 310.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Chennai Super Kings | 45c | 307.32$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f6e3backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 197.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 51c | 188.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…bc85backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 180.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…9e52backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 51c | 169.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…b45bbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 126.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…8d70backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…47cebacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 64.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…96e8backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…dd5bbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…f08cbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8316…6857backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 42.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…4947backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 38.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…d609backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 51c | 35.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…d1ddbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 34.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…ce77backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 51c | 33.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…4f23backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…f7cebacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers HyderabadSunrisers Hyderabad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.