Boxing · resolved market
Boxing: Conor Benn vs. Regis Prograis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ff1a62cdaf4c1b9a3064cb00798d52023cdeca98d962f187369271ba97f3c25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bennof Benn, Prograis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ab4…0881backed Prograis | 10c | 2,673$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Prograis | 9c | 1,623$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked Prograis | 13c | 1,003$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked Prograis | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Prograis | 9c | 893.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Prograis | 2c | 870.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed Prograis | 8c | 722.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Prograis | 9c | 504.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Prograis | 5c | 496.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55b…debabacked Prograis | 13c | 366.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed Prograis | 10c | 282.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…707bbacked Prograis | 10c | 281.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Prograis | 10c | 229.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…6285backed Prograis | 13c | 218.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb3…6330backed Prograis | 8c | 193.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Prograis | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Prograis | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Prograis | 9c | 162.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Prograis | 9c | 144.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Prograis | 9c | 142.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…e988backed Prograis | 11c | 126.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.