CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x302252619387d1d46d1369fc8aca7c7126ef6a4bef3172053430541290438e2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof UNO MILLE, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed UNO MILLE | 30c | 5,379$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.91 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fake do Biru | 60c | 2,281$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.97 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed UNO MILLE | 40c | 1,133$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.43 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fake do Biru | 62c | 917.1$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru | 70c | 723.06$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fake do Biru | 76c | 656.7$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UNO MILLE | 30c | 578.18$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.45 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Fake do Biru | 65c | 428.17$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fake do Biru | 63c | 366.68$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed UNO MILLE | 18c | 196.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…8bb4backed UNO MILLE | 39c | 124.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed UNO MILLE | 21c | 121.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed Fake do Biru | 67c | 86.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed UNO MILLE | 23c | 72.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Fake do Biru | 69c | 71.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed UNO MILLE | 31c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed UNO MILLE | 38c | 37.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 23.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 PlayoffsFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.