Tennis · resolved market
Tampere: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Guido Justo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x303ba2b1219c6b12a7e082c1f85ccbae045f753d025d9f8a6e4d7d1992a490fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guido Justoof Genaro Alberto Olivieri, Guido Justo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 14c | 4,596$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.6 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Guido Justo | 79c | 2,438$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.64 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…4c29backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 15c | 999.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guido Justo | 78c | 968.73$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 37c | 926.57$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.36 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 11c | 665.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 41c | 585.01$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 40c | 334.78$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Guido Justo | 65c | 317.22$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.66 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 16c | 279.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 41c | 245.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Guido Justo | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 41c | 199.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 11c | 127.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 17c | 119.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 39c | 88.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 40c | 66.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guido Justo | 68c | 62.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 35c | 54.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Guido Justo | 60c | 50.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed Guido Justo | 60c | 28.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Guido Justo | 60c | 27.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Guido Justo | 60c | 25.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…9f01backed Guido Justo | 59c | 22.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Guido Justo | 69c | 21.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.