Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Linda Fruhvirtova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304d3987c798608c76c331ee541b0ac578aee8600ca915b094d889ae9e3c0ec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanne Vandewinkelof Hanne Vandewinkel, Linda Fruhvirtova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 4c | 17,239$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 6c | 12,999$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.08 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 5c | 9,591$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 6c | 4,047$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 0c | 3,287$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 5c | 771.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 4c | 513.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 74c | 399.08$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…5187backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 4c | 369.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 26c | 319.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 6c | 232.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 8c | 157.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…b4b4backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 8c | 143.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 74c | 139.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 74c | 132.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 26c | 115$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 73c | 94.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 26c | 70.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 74c | 39.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…34a6backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 74c | 13.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -30.3wins | -0.30per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Linda Fruhvirtovathis page
- Hanne Vandewinkel vs. Linda Fruhvirtova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Vandewinkel (-1.5) vs Fruhvirtova (+1.5)Vandewinkel won
- Vandewinkel vs. Fruhvirtova: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Vandewinkel vs. Fruhvirtova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.