La Liga · resolved market
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-04-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x305f9328fc8f520e35f66adff370e26b6779637fb819930950d7c2fbedd21970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 80c | 689.4$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 575.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 14c | 516.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 58c | 433.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 365.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 9c | 314.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 17c | 263.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 236.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 209.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 34c | 208.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 20c | 195$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 161.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 14c | 135.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 18c | 125.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 16c | 108.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7518backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 79c | 95.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f5e9backed Yes | 19c | 82.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…466ebacked No | 80c | 74.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…0489backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…c4d6backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 18c | 61.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 77c | 47.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-04-01?this page
- Will Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.