Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Charlotte 49ers (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3144404916e7d9b099ed0b29f82489d639fa72cdec4a625d147407546a3dda31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UTSA Roadrunnersof Charlotte 49ers, UTSA Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Charlotte 49ers | 48c | 6,429$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.34 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed UTSA Roadrunners | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 54c | 2,401$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.46 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 48c | 1,732$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed UTSA Roadrunners | 53c | 1,658$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.46 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Charlotte 49ers | 45c | 1,055$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.58 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed UTSA Roadrunners | 47c | 999.78$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.88 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charlotte 49ers | 46c | 457.62$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 412$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 301.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed UTSA Roadrunners | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UTSA Roadrunners | 52c | 177.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 158.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 53c | 133.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed UTSA Roadrunners | 51c | 120.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 108.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 101.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…b1a1backed UTSA Roadrunners | 51c | 80.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Charlotte 49ers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Charlotte 49ers | 34c | 53.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed UTSA Roadrunners | 64c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed UTSA Roadrunners | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 46.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 34.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 30.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed UTSA Roadrunners | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed UTSA Roadrunners | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Charlotte 49ers (-14.5)this page
- Spread: Charlotte 49ers (-15.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ersUTSA Roadrunners won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 147.5Over won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.