Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1996474f6a791da814dd6649dfe517f7acece020597509260d73b8eb374e4592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UTSA Roadrunnersof UTSA Roadrunners, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 7c | 20,394$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,017.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed UTSA Roadrunners | 8c | 15,868$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,569.76 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UTSA Roadrunners | 7c | 3,431$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.65 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UTSA Roadrunners | 66c | 2,110$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.23 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 21c | 1,446$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 1,406$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.77 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed UTSA Roadrunners | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…c3c6backed UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 1,199$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.11 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Charlotte 49ers | 43c | 1,022$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.94 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 9c | 768$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.88 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UTSA Roadrunners | 8c | 634.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.82 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 530$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 7c | 429$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.97 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed UTSA Roadrunners | 38c | 363$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.38 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 309.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.55 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UTSA Roadrunners | 11c | 300$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Charlotte 49ers | 36c | 274$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Charlotte 49ers | 6c | 233.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 11c | 227.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.86 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…73d1backed UTSA Roadrunners | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UTSA Roadrunners | 12c | 200.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1f…039dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Charlotte 49ers | 13c | 169.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed UTSA Roadrunners | 12c | 168.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…e13cbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 162.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed UTSA Roadrunners | 9c | 150.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Charlotte 49ers | 20c | 109.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 24c | 102.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…df01backed UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…e567backed UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…638cbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…4d4fbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Charlotte 49ers | 44c | 80.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Charlotte 49ers | 73c | 69.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 42c | 69.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Charlotte 49ers | 48c | 52.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6949…3d45backed Charlotte 49ers | 62c | 45.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -80%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 38c | 39.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed UTSA Roadrunners | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 27.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UTSA Roadrunners | 79c | 26.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 71c | 25.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Charlotte 49ers | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Charlotte 49ers | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ersthis page
- Spread: Charlotte 49ers (-14.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: Charlotte 49ers (-15.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 147.5Over won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.