Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Eva Vedder vs Bianca Andreescu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3184be1206636bd9ef4434c056ef1e7abd6aec59cc7eaa000e702619e8d08b22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bianca Andreescuof Eva Vedder, Bianca Andreescu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eva Vedder | 2c | 19,753$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.38 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Eva Vedder | 5c | 1,844$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Eva Vedder | 1c | 1,821$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Eva Vedder | 18c | 1,551$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.18 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Eva Vedder | 18c | 834.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 440 | 42.3%186 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Eva Vedder | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 303 | 35.3%107 W · 196 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Eva Vedder | 16c | 451.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Eva Vedder | 17c | 364.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Eva Vedder | 17c | 351.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 587 | 57.8%339 W · 248 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Eva Vedder | 10c | 303.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eva Vedder | 17c | 202.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…bf08backed Eva Vedder | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Eva Vedder | 10c | 160.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Eva Vedder | 16c | 101.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Eva Vedder | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4834…fafabacked Eva Vedder | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…40d1backed Eva Vedder | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.