Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x319d722babf29c2497fd5a9992b7bef00f85959e8ce9c65ae179f50f99f6b5ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, ZETA DIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe363…c894backed T1 | 70c | 352$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ZETA DIVISION | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed ZETA DIVISION | 28c | 229.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…b1adbacked T1 | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed ZETA DIVISION | 27c | 129.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked ZETA DIVISION | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed ZETA DIVISION | 29c | 82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed T1 | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed ZETA DIVISION | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ZETA DIVISION | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked ZETA DIVISION | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed T1 | 71c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked T1 | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked T1 | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked T1 | 67c | 39.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed T1 | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed T1 | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed T1 | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked T1 | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed T1 | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked T1 | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed T1 | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked T1 | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3)T1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.