Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31abacde16538077ee83c77c06b624444981bdb4c9303c12986504c818d33fc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 16c | 39,493$6,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,318.88 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 17c | 3,812$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.96 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 15c | 1,407$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 1,249$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 16c | 1,100$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.11 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 16c | 499.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 16c | 492.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 15c | 299.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 16c | 231$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 16c | 159$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 17c | 149.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 16c | 86.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…d0d1backed No | 17c | 69.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?No won
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.