TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigers: O/U 142.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,189 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…e319backed Under49c3,246$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.6361652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under50c3,054$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.2425043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over51c2,492$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.411,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c2,471$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.4612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Over52c934.21$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.165556.4%31 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c459$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.682,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over40c404.51$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c323.67$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.61,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over48c287.05$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2740755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under60c257.39$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4335338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c248.24$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.583,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af9…2b9dbacked Over43c231.07$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.921315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-69.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Under49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.912147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under50c199.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3f…7fecbacked Over45c170.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.682259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over51c128.86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1421850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over50c118.63$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3131448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c92.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.511,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6535…cdf8backed Under63c63.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under49c30.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6813457.5%77 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.94628.3%13 W · 33 L-10.2wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over52c26.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0160954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Under57c25.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5219641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.