Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Malaysia A vs Hong Kong A: Malaysia A vs Hong Kong A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31bfe64c4bde872113debc050c948c266fec6814ea52521c9ce1ab1adcb63ec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Malaysia Aof Malaysia A, Hong Kong A
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6556…906cbacked Hong Kong A | 10c | 914.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Hong Kong A | 60c | 390.4$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.24 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3d…a26ebacked Malaysia A | 44c | 242.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Hong Kong A | 38c | 228.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Malaysia A | 33c | 191.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.61 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…c441backed Malaysia A | 74c | 117.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hong Kong A | 45c | 114.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Hong Kong A | 65c | 90.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…97b0backed Malaysia A | 70c | 88.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…6432backed Malaysia A | 78c | 73.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Malaysia A | 28c | 64.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x725c…e5febacked Hong Kong A | 74c | 53.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3981…9e5dbacked Malaysia A | 22c | 49.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Malaysia A | 27c | 46.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Malaysia A | 26c | 39.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…e467backed Hong Kong A | 71c | 34.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Hong Kong A | 65c | 34.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Malaysia A | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Hong Kong A | 73c | 29.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.